Optimal Dispatch of WT/PV/ES Combined Generation System Based on Cyber-Physical-Social Integration

摘要

With the energy transition, the cyber-physical system (CPS) is expanded to the cyber-physical-social system (CPSS), and connected by the communication network, which is introduced in the form of a highly reliable cellular star network in this paper. Due to the uncertainties of wind turbine/photovoltaic power outputs, an improved rolling ultra-short-term forecast method with high reliability is proposed, which is based on long short-term memory networks, and the superiority is proved by comparing with multi-layer perception neural networks, linear regression, support vector regression and random forest. Then, two stochastic optimization models are constructed, one is based on CPS, the other is based on CPSS. As for social factors, electric vehicle aggregator is stimulated by cost to actively participate in the dispatch operation. Moreover, in order to ensure the stable operation of the smart energy system, the frequency deviation of automatic generation control system is studied as one security constraint. The optimal results display that social factors can not only make the system more economic and flexible, but also further increase the consumption of RE. Moreover, accurate forecast results can improve the performance of optimization dispatch operations.

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