Optimal consumption and portfolio choices in the stochastic SIS model

作者：Li, Shilin; Li, Tongtong^*; Yang, Jinqiang

来源：North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2022, 63.

• Optimal consumption
• Portfolio allocation
• Transmission uncertainty
• Infectivity Infection rate
• Vaccination

Motivated by the stochastic...... model, this paper aims to incorporate the stochastic transmission shock (e.g COVID- 19) into the standard portfolio theory, and explores the optimal rules with respect to infections. The impact of COVID - 19 is decomposed into two dimensions such as infectivity (denoted by R-0) and infection rate (measured by I). The results indicate that infectivity mainly affects consumption, whereas the investment rule is merely governed by infection rate. Moreover, we find that higher infections lead to less sensitivity and smoother consumption compared with normal times. However, the sensitivity and volatility of investment with respect to infections present a U-shape and hump-shape, respectively. Notably, we shed new lights on the effect of transmission uncertainty and risk-aversion with pandemic shock. The innovative attempt of this paper not only enriches the research of epidemiology in the field of economics, but also provides a paradigm for studying investor's behavior under the normalization of epidemic situations.

• 单位
  复旦大学