CT morphological features for predicting the risk of lymph node metastasis in T1 colorectal cancer

摘要

ObjectivesThe aim of this study is to evaluate the feasibility of clinicopathological characteristics and computed tomography (CT) morphological features in predicting lymph node metastasis (LNM) for patients with T1 colorectal cancer (CRC).MethodsA total of 144 patients with T1 CRC who underwent CT scans and surgical resection were retrospectively included in our study. The clinicopathological characteristics and CT morphological features were assessed by two observers. Univariate and multiple logistic regression analyses were used to identify significant LNM predictive variables. Then a model was developed using the independent predictive factors. The predictive model was subjected to bootstrapping validation (1000 bootstrap resamples) to calculate the calibration curve and relative C-index.ResultsLNM were found in 30/144 patients (20.83%). Four independent risk factors were determined in the multiple logistic regression analysis, including presence of necrosis (adjusted odds ratio [OR] = 10.32, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.96-54.3, p = 0.004), irregular outer border (adjusted OR = 5.94, 95% CI 1.39-25.45, p = 0.035), and heterogeneity enhancement (adjusted OR = 7.35, 95% CI 3.11-17.38, p = 0.007), as well as tumor location (adjusted ORright-sided colon = 0.05 [0.01-0.60], p = 0.018; adjusted ORrectum = 0.22 [0.06-0.83], p = 0.026). In the internal validation cohort, the model showed good calibration and good discrimination with a C-index of 0.89.ConclusionsThere are significant associations between lymphatic metastasis status and tumor location as well as CT morphologic features in T1 CRC, which could help the doctor make decisions for additional surgery after endoscopic resection.

关键词