The latest research and implication of hybrid earthquake forecasting models

作者：Zhang Shengfeng; Zhang Yongxian; Jiang Changsheng

来源：国际地震动态, 2017, (3).

DOI：10.3969/j.issn.0235-4975.2017.03.003

• earthquake prediction
• hybrid model
• single model
• Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP)
• Operational Earthquake Forecasting (OEF)

Researches on the basis of the framework of Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) and the Operational Earthquake Forecasting (OEF) lead to a significant development for earthquake forecasting in recent years.On the foundation of these results, a concept of model based on the combination of different time-varying models, called hybrid model, was proposed and has been developed rapidly in New Zealand, Italy and other areas.Because of the obvious advantages of the hybrid model compared with the single forecasting model in many cases, its development trend and the operational tactics may provide a technical reference for the long-term development of the earthquake prediction in China.

• 单位
  北京; 中国地震局地球物理研究所; 山东省地震局