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High-Frequency-Based Volatility Model with Network Structure

Yuan, Huiling; Lu, Kexin; Li, Guodong; Wang, Junhui*
Science Citation Index Expanded
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摘要

This paper introduces a novel multi-variate volatility model that can accommodate appropriately defined network structures based on low-frequency and high-frequency data. The model offers substantial reductions in the number of unknown parameters and computational complexity. The model formulation, along with iterative multi-step-ahead forecasting and targeting parameterization are discussed. Quasi-likelihood functions for parameter estimation are proposed and their asymptotic properties are established. A series of simulation studies are carried out to assess the performance of parameter estimation in finite samples. Furthermore, a real data analysis demonstrates that the proposed model outperforms the existing volatility models in prediction of future variances of daily return and realized measures.

关键词

High-frequency data low-frequency data network structure quasi-maximum likelihood estimators volatility prediction power