The Current Impact\nFactor and the long-term impact of scientific journals by discipline: A\nlogistic diffusion model estimation

摘要

SummaryThis paper estimates the long-term impact of journals aggregated in 24\ndifferent fields, using a simple logistic diffusion model, and relates the\nresults to the current impact factor. Results show that while the current and\nthe long-term impact factors have a high correlation coefficient, some fields\nare systematically slower-moving than others, as they often differ in the\nproportion of the overall impact through time that occurs in the short term.

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